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Draft guide update - March 4

Here's the latest projection updates for the draft guide. Outfielders coming Thursday.

Second basemen

Mark Ellis (Athletics)

Ellis was given a few more at-bats since it looks like he’ll be hitting high in the lineup most of the time.

Omar Infante (Braves)
Kelly Johnson (Braves) - Up $1

There was concern going into the spring that Johnson would be dropped out of the leadoff spot, but manager Bobby Cox seems content to leave him there. It’s for the best.

Rickie Weeks (Brewers)

Weeks was credited with a few more RBI because of the likely switch of Jason Kendall to the No. 9 spot in the order.

Ramon Martinez (Dodgers)
Eugenio Velez (Giants)

I gave Velez a few more at-bats with Omar Vizquel out. It doesn’t quite make him a $1 selection in my book, but he should be a very high reserve pick.

Dan Uggla (Marlins) - Up $1

Uggla is expected to stay in the No. 2 spot after all, giving his value a boost. It looked like he might be dropped into the fifth spot.

Bret Boone (Nationals)

I had to give him a projection. I didn’t have to give him a good one.

Ian Kinsler (Rangers) - Up $1

The probable move of Kinsler into the leadoff spot gets him over the 600-AB plateau. Chase Utley is the only second baseman I have scoring more runs.

Dustin Pedroia (Red Sox)

Pedroia received a minor tweak since it looks like he’ll be hitting second, not leadoff.

Marcus Giles (Rockies)
Danny Richar (White Sox) - Down $2

I’ll be giving some of Richar’s at-bats to Alexei Ramirez, who I have listed with the outfielders.


Third basemen

Eric Chavez (Athletics) - Down $1
Jack Hannahan (Athletics)

Chavez’s setback has knocked him down to $7 in the rankings. I still have Hannahan at $0, but he’ll be worth using initially if Chavez lands on the DL.

Russell Branyan (Brewers)
Abraham Nunez (Brewers)

I fixed a mistake in the projections that had Abraham Nunez the infielder’s at-bats going to Abraham Nunez the outfielder. Fortunately, I think it was caught early enough to save NL-only leaguers from disaster.

Alex Cintron (Cubs)
Rich Aurilia (Giants) - Up $1

The Giants still haven’t done any better than Aurilia at third base, so I felt forced to bump the veteran up to $2. I’m guessing we’ll also see Kevin Frandsen there once Vizquel makes it back.

Chase Headley (Padres)

Headley remains a long shot to win a spot on the Padres, but with nothing but injury-prone guys ahead of him, it’s easy to see him getting an opportunity early on in the season. I gave him a few more at-bats as a result.

Jose Bautista (Pirates) - Down $1

Bautista apparently won’t be hitting second as anticipated. He was more of a sleeper up there than he would be in the sixth or seventh spot.

Evan Longoria (Rays) - Up $1

Things are looking good for Longoria so far in his attempt to beat out Willy Aybar and Eric Hinske. I currently have him at $6. If he gets the job, I’ll probably push him up to $9-$10.

Garrett Atkins (Rockies)

Atkins lost one RBI because of the Todd Helton-Matt Holliday switch.

Scott Spiezio (Free agent)

The first pick in next month’s California Penal League draft.


Shortstops

Miguel Tejada (Astros) - Down $1

It took Cecil Cooper about a week to notice that Tejada might not be the ideal choice to bat third in a lineup that also includes Lance Berkman, Carlos Lee and Hunter Pence. Unfortunately, it’ll probably be a year before they realize he should also be at third base, not shortstop.

Brent Lillibridge (Braves)

Lillibridge has a definite chance of cracking the Opening Day roster if Infante lands on the disabled list. Still, I don’t have him quite worth a dollar yet.

J.J. Hardy (Brewers) - Down $1

I wasn’t high on Hardy before. Now that it looks like he’ll be hitting low in the order, rather than second, I’d recommend staying away entirely.

Brendan Ryan (Cardinals)

Ryan figures to benefit most from Spiezio’s departure. I still have him at $1, but he went from barely above the $0 cutoff to being one of the best dollar picks.

Rafael Furcal (Dodgers)

With Joe Torre taking over, Furcal apparently will be hitting behind Juan Pierre. I think that arrangement makes more sense if Pierre absolutely, positively has to play.

Kevin Frandsen (Giants) - Up $1
Omar Vizquel (Giants) - Down $1

Both now $2 players.

Cristian Guzman (Nationals) - Up $1
Felipe Lopez (Nationals) - Down $2

The chances are increasing that Guzman will be the Nationals’ leadoff hitter on Opening Day and Lopez will be sitting behind Ronnie Belliard initially. I still have Lopez as easily the most valuable player of the group, but I think I was too high on him initially.

Ray Olmedo (Phillies)
Jack Wilson (Pirates) - Up $1

New Pirates manager John Russell appears to like Wilson back in the No. 2 spot. Which makes me wonder why on Earth the Pirates made him their new manager. That should have been one of the first questions the new regime asked in managerial interviews.

Alex Gonzalez (Reds) - Down $1
Jeff Keppinger (Reds) - Up $1

Keppinger will open the season playing shortstop and batting second. He’s pretty much the ideal No. 2 hitter in Dusty Baker’s world, which makes me wonder just how much playing time he’s going to steal away from Gonzalez and perhaps Edwin Encarnacion once the Reds are healthy.

Brendan Harris (Twins) - Down $1

If Joe Mauer hits second, Harris will probably find himself batting eighth. I had him penciled in hitting ahead of Mauer, Michael Cuddyer and Justin Morneau. Instead, he might be hitting ahead of Adam Everett and Carlos Gomez. How many runs would that cost him given 550 at-bats? 40?

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