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December 28, 2007

Hall of Fame Ballot

If I had a vote, here are the four players I’d be checking off before the Dec. 31 deadline.

Tim Raines - Maybe the second-best leadoff hitter ever. Unfortunately, he was playing at the same time as No. 1, and he was stuck in Montreal for his best years. Raines ranked in the top 10 in the league in runs eight times, leading the NL twice. He also posted seven top 10s in OBP, four in average and four in OPS. He ranks fifth all-time in steals, and he was successful on an incredible 85 percent of his attempts during his career. In a three-year span from 1985 through ’87, he had a very good case as the best player in the NL.

Bert Blyleven - 26th all-time in wins and fifth in strikeouts. 10 league top 10s in ERA and 11 in innings pitched. Ninth all-time in shutouts. 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA in the postseason, and a key member of two World Series champs. Blyleven would rank in the top half of the 60 pitchers in the Hall of Fame, and it’s ridiculous that he’s had to wait this long to get in.

Alan Trammell - If his defense was close to good enough to justify the four Gold Gloves he won, then Trammell is a clear-cut Hall of Famer. He deserved AL MVP honors in 1987, and he went to six All-Star Games despite having to deal with Cal Ripken’s presence in the AL at the same time. It’s easy to overlook his 185 career home runs, but only three Hall of Fame shortstops have more and each of them spent significant time at other positions (Ernie Banks, Ripken and Robin Yount).

Goose Gossage - Turned in a better career that two of the four relievers in the Hall of Fame (Bruce Sutter and Rollie Fingers). Some of the mediocre seasons he turned in at the end of his career appear to be holding him back, but he had a better case for enshrinement than Sutter by the time he turned 33. Nine All-Star Games. Led the league in saves three times. He had three seasons in which he was far more valuable than any reliever could be today, throwing 141 2/3, 133 and 134 1/3 innings with 1.84, 1.62 and 2.01 ERAs, respectively.


Left off

Jim Rice - It was Boston’s right fielder all of those years who belongs in the Hall of Fame. Rice’s case is built around power, yet he fell off so quickly that he didn’t even get to 400 homers. In his career, he hit .320/.374/.546 at Fenway and .277/.330/.459 in road games.

Mark McGwire - I’d like to see what more comes out over the next few years before making my decision.

Lee Smith - It’d hardly be a crime if he got in, but we need to draw the line somewhere on closers. My preference would have been to include Gossage and exclude Sutter and Smith.

December 24, 2007

Top 10 First Basemen

1. Albert Pujols
2. Ryan Howard
3. Prince Fielder
4. Mark Teixeira
5. Lance Berkman
6. Justin Morneau
7. Derrek Lee
8. Carlos Pena
9. Paul Konerko
10. Todd Helton

I don't see much changing here between now and Opening Day. Pujols gets the worst projection I've given him since 2002 and still has a clear advantage over the rest of the field. The biggest gaps are between Teixeira and Berkman and then Pena and Konerko. I couldn't put James Loney into the top 10 when he's likely to hit no higher than sixth. He'll probably be situated right behind Andruw Jones, which may not lead to a lot of RBI opportunities. I'm not convinced he's a 25-homer guy this year anyway.

Top threes by category
Avg. - Pujols, Helton, Loney
HR - Howard, Fielder, Pujols
RBI - Howard, Teixeira, Fielder
R - Pujols, Howard, Teixeira
SB - Lee, Pujols, Casey Kotchman

December 21, 2007

Top 10 Catchers

My preliminary hitting projections are starting to come together now, and I have numbers done for about 95 percent of the $10+ players. Some teams are more complete than others, but I'm comfortable enough with what I have now to start presenting some rankings on the blog. Here's the very early top 10 for the catchers.

1. Victor Martinez
2. Joe Mauer
3. Russell Martin
4. Brian McCann
5. Jorge Posada
6. Kenji Johjima
7. Ivan Rodriguez
8. Ramon Hernandez
9. A.J. Pierzynski
10. Bengie Molina

I don't have much more than $1 in value separating the top three. After that is a big gap to McCann and another one almost as significant after Posada. At this point, I just can't see spending much on a catcher unless it's for one of the top five. The catchers in the 6-15 range seem like weaker bets than they have been in years. I had Pierzynski 12th last year with a projection that came out better than the one that has him ninth right now.

December 12, 2007

Thoughts on Tejada to Houston

According to multiple reports, the Astros have acquired Miguel Tejada from the Orioles for LHP Troy Patton, OF Luke Scott, RHP Matt Albers, RHP Dennis Sarfate and 3B Mike Costanzo.

- The Astros are planning on using Tejada at shortstop, so it looks like this could actually be a 6-for-1 deal. Once Adam Everett is non-tendered tonight, Baltimore will be his most likely destination as a free agent.

- Now that the Astros have Tejada, they should abandon the ill-conceived plan of sticking both Michael Bourn and Kaz Matsui at the top of the lineup.

Continue reading "Thoughts on Tejada to Houston" »

December 11, 2007

Top 10 Starting Pitchers

My apologies for the lack of entries lately. I'm deep into the draft guide this time of year and that's not going to change for another five or six weeks. I still intend to blog, but for the most part, they will be shorter entries.

I just finished my rough draft of the starting pitching projections and came up with the following top 10.

Continue reading "Top 10 Starting Pitchers" »

December 08, 2007

BBWAA Controversy

This is getting good.

18 full-time Internet baseball writers were nominated for entry into the BBWAA at the winter meetings this week. The association let in 16, 14 of whom were former members now working for ESPN.com, SI and so on. The two denied admission were both ESPN writers: Rob Neyer and Keith Law. Apparently, they just don’t go to enough baseball games.

Continue reading "BBWAA Controversy" »

  
 
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