2009 "Prospects" List for Draft Guide
Josh Morgan is directly in the mix to be Rotoworld's top 2009 prospect
I'm in the process of constructing the "Prospects" report for the 2009 Rotoworld Draft Guide. I've made a preliminary list of potential prospects, and plan to end with a Top 25. I'm hoping to get some opinions on who should be in the top five or ten. The criteria to be a "prospect" is as follows:
1. Cannot be rookies. Rookies are already over-analyzed. We're looking for second- to fourth-year players with chances to make a significant impact in fantasy.
2. Must be 26 or younger. I loosened this by one year (last year's list excluded anyone over 25) to expand the list of players to choose from.
3. Must play a fantasy relevant position. This is obvious enough. We're not looking at offensive linemen.
4. Must have a clear opportunity to make an impact this year due to aging or injured vets in front of him, starting or key situational holes to fill, or be involved in a competition. No guys buried on their team's depth charts or unlikely to make the final roster.
5.There must be reason to believe that these guys can play. Knowing college backgrounds helps here.
6. Cannot have extensive starting experience or be an established player in the league. If the player has started games before, must have been in only a "spot" capacity. Eight career starts is a good ceiling in most cases, although we can be lenient here.
7. Can't be former first- or second-round picks. We're not looking at guys from which big things are already expected. Ray Rice, Chad Henne, Rashard Mendenhall, and Devin Thomas do not qualify as prospects.
I previously pointed out some of last year's hits ((Pierre Thomas, Steve Breaston, Tyler Thigpen, Kevin Boss), misses (Laurent Robinson, Brian Calhoun, Scott Chandler), and others that flirted with fantasy value (Chansi Stuckey, Miles Austin, Jason Hill). We got off to a pretty good start and hopefully it will continue.
The Prospects will be ranked based on talent, with opportunity weighed in heavily.
To give you some idea of the type of players we're looking at, here are some of my top candidates so far:
Jaguars WR Mike Walker
Eagles TE Brent Celek
Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles
Raiders WR Chaz Schilens
Rams RB Kenneth Darby
Redskins QB Colt Brennan
Saints WR Adrian Arrington
Seahawks RB Justin Forsett
Bills WR Steve Johnson
Packers TE Jermichael Finley
Colts WR Pierre Garcon
Bears WR Earl Bennett
Comments
I'd actually be surprised if Allison makes the Vikings roster this season. He's stuck behind Berrian, Harvin, Rice and Wade, I'm guessing they go with someone like Darrius Reynaud or another WR over Allison.
Posted by: MNRunLeft | July 14, 2009 10:43 PM
Wade's definitely no lock to make the Vikings. He has knee concerns and no obvious role. Allison is very likely to make the team, but at this point he's too buried to fit the criteria for this list. He does have talent though. I was shocked he went undrafted in 07. Reynaud lacks Allison's receiving ability and Wade Allison's explosiveness.
Posted by: evan | July 15, 2009 10:21 AM
Chris Carter seems to think the Jaymar Johnson could start for the Vikings, though that's probably a stretch I'm guessing he'll take the 5th WR spot, resulting in him looking for a new team this season.
Posted by: MNRunLeft | July 17, 2009 10:30 AM
Nice topic fellas...this is something even the most astute owners among us can use!
Justin Forsett is the guy I'm watching...just too many things going for him:
-Kid is ultra-talented--he earned a sizeable timeshare with M. Lynch at Cal
-NO talent in front of him--the fact Julius is still being considered for major reps in the League is a shock to me
-OC Knapp's track record w/ RBs is well-documented
Posted by: starred4life | July 17, 2009 05:13 PM
Do you guys think Jordy Nelson falls under this category and is he good value in the 15th round of a dynasty draft w/ 12 teams?
Posted by: borked | July 21, 2009 07:56 PM
similar to myfreepaysite
Posted by: myfreepaysite coj | August 28, 2009 11:27 PM
myfreepaysite wikipedia
Posted by: myfreepaysite safe | August 29, 2009 12:31 AM