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Hard Hitten' Witten can be a TD Maker

Jason Witten finished as the TE1 overall in 2007 and the TE2 in 2008. He is established as an elite fantasy commodity. Witten is the most complete tight end in the league, and with Terrell Owens gone, will be Tony Romo's go-to weapon in crucial situations.

The only hole in Witten's game -- and this, admittedly, is being overly picky -- is his touchdown production. He's never scored more than seven TDs in a season, and found the end zone just four times in 2008.

This is where the loss of Owens projects to benefit Witten the most.

In 2008, Witten saw a disturbingly low 6 red-zone targets. Owens dominated Tony Romo's eye inside opposing 20-yard lines, leading Dallas with 17 pass attempts.

In 2007, Witten was the one pacing Dallas pass catchers in red-zone looks with 17. Owens had 16. Witten scored his career-high 7 touchdowns in this year.

In 2006, Owens finished seventh in the NFL with 21 red-zone targets. Witten saw just 11, scoring once.

While T.O.'s old red-zone targets aren't guaranteed to all be passed on to Witten, it's pretty safe to say Witten should resume seeing somewhere in the range of 15-20 targets inside the opponents' 20. Witten's red-zone efficiency since 2004 (57.4% on 54 targets) compares favorably to Roy E. Williams' (50.0% on 56 targets).

No matter how you slice it, Witten was going to be among our top-three fantasy tight ends for the 2009 season. With more high-scoring potential than ever, we were very comfortable ranking Witten No. 1.

Comments

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Great idea, but will this work over the long run?

I cannot believe this will work!

Damn, that sound's so easy if you think about it.

This brings me to an idea:...

I cannot believe this is true!

I cannot believe this is true!

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