Dynasty Rankings: Quarterbacks
Loyal readers of my Dynasty Rankings blog know that the site has been woefully neglected over the past month or two. Now that Evan, Gregg and I have been released from the basement of Rotoworld headquarters after working feverishly on the May magazine (due to hit newsstands shortly), it's well past time to update the rankings.
As this is the first official update since the April draft, I'm going to roll them out one position at a time here on the Pancakes Blocks blog. Feel free to throw in your two cents.
Tier One
1. Peyton Manning, IND | Age: 33.5 | Value Score: 99
2. Drew Brees, NO | Age: 30.6 | Value Score: 99
3. Tom Brady, NE | Age: 32.1 | Value Score: 96
Tier Two
4. Matt Ryan, ATL | Age: 24.3 | Value Score: 90
5. Aaron Rodgers, GB | Age: 25.8 | Value Score: 88
6. Philip Rivers, SD | Age: 27.8 | Value Score: 87
7. Jay Cutler, CHI | Age: 26.3 | Value Score: 86
8. Tony Romo, DAL | Age: 29.4 | Value Score: 85
9. Donovan McNabb, PHI | Age: 32.7 | Value Score: 83
10. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT | Age: 27.5 | Value Score: 82
11. Matt Schaub, HOU | Age: 28.2 | Value Score: 81
Tier Three
12. Kurt Warner, ARI | Age: 38.3 | Value Score: 74
13. Carson Palmer, CIN | Age: 29.7 | Value Score: 73
14. Eli Manning, NYG | Age: 28.6 | Value Score: 68
Tier Four
15. Joe Flacco, BAL | Age: 24.7 | Value Score: 58
16. Trent Edwards, BUF | Age: 25.9 | Value Score: 57
17. David Garrard, JAX | Age: 31.5 | Value Score: 54
18. Matt Cassel, KC | Age: 26.3 | Value Score: 52
19. Matthew Stafford, DET | Age: 21.6 | Value Score: 50
20. Mark Sanchez, NYJ | Age: 22.9 | Value Score: 48
21. Matt Hasselbeck, SEA | Age: 34.0 | Value Score: 46
Tier Five
22. Brady Quinn, CLE | Age: 24.9 | Value Score: 35
23. Jason Campbell, WAS | Age: 27.7 | Value Score: 32
24. JaMarcus Russell, OAK | Age: 24.1 | Value Score: 30
25. Chad Henne, MIA | Age: 24.2 | Value Score: 29
26. Kyle Orton, CHI | Age: 26.8 | Value Score: 27
27. Shaun Hill, SF | Age: 29.7 | Value Score: 26
Tier Six
28. Sage Rosenfels, MIN | Age: 31.5 | Value Score: 20
29. Pat White, MIA | Age: 23.6 | Value Score: 20
30. Michael Vick, ATL* | Age: 29.2 | Value Score: 18
31. Josh Freeman, TB | Age: 21.7 | Value Score: 17
32. Jake Delhomme, CAR | Age: 34.6 | Value Score: 16
Tier Seven
33. Brett Favre, UFA* | Age: 39.9 | Value Score: 12
34. Luke McCown, TB | Age: 28.2 | Value Score: 12
35. Marc Bulger, STL | Age: 32.4 | Value Score: 11
36. Vince Young, TEN | Age: 26.3 | Value Score: 10
37. Byron Leftwich, TB | Age: 29.6 | Value Score: 10
38. Matt Leinart, ARI | Age: 26.3 | Value Score: 9
39. Derek Anderson, CLE | Age: 26.2 | Value Score: 8
40. Kerry Collins, TEN | Age: 36.7 | Value Score: 8
41. Chad Pennington, MIA | Age: 33.2 | Value Score: 7
42. Daunte Culpepper, DET | Age: 32.7 | Value Score: 7
Tier Eight
43. Kevin Kolb, PHI | Age: 25.0 | Value Score: 5
44. Colt Brennan, WAS | Age: 26.0 | Value Score: 4
45. Brian Brohm, GB | Age: 23.9 | Value Score: 4
46. Kevin O’Connell, NE | Age: 24.5 | Value Score: 3
47. Dennis Dixon, PIT | Age: 24.7 | Value Score: 3
48. Josh Johnson, TB | Age: 23.4 | Value Score: 3
49. Tarvaris Jackson, MIN | Age: 26.4 | Value Score: 3
50. Tyler Thigpen, KC | Age: 25.4 | Value Score: 3
Comments
veggie b.,
1. Peyton vs. Brees. Manning is such a sure thing -- in both production and health -- that I prefer him at No. 1. I think Brees' value is more fickle, but I can certainly understand going with him (hence the same value score).
2. Matt Ryan. You're right. I do have a lot faith in him. He's special, and you have to rank special players highly before they blow up. I think Rivers is coming off a career year, and Cutler is a head case going to a worse offense.
3. Kurt Warner. One of my most important Dynasty league tenets is that the current year is always three times as important as any future year. Championship banners fly forever. If I can get elite production out of Warner for 2 years, he's worth much more to me than a guy like Joe Flacco who may never be starter worthy in fantasy leagues. (Also, Warner has been money for 2 years now, not just last year. Fitz, Boldin & Breaston = fantasy gold).
4. David Garrard. You just contradicted yourself. You're placing too much value on last year, when the Jags offensive line crumpled in Week 1. He was a consensus Top-12 QB last year at this time.
5. Quinn hasn't even won the starting job, he wasn't all that impressive last season, and a Braylon Edwards trade would give him the worst offensive weapons in the NFL -- by far. I'm content with where he's ranked.
6. Hass has been way more productive than Jake Delhomme. That comparison is null & void.
7. Cassel. You have my ear. I'm inclined to agree with you here.
8. Campbell. I've never been a believer. Even at his best, he's more of an NFL asset than fantasy asset. His Dynasty value is held back by the Redskins refusal to put any faith in him, much less extend his contract beyond this season.
Posted by: Wess | May 21, 2009 01:28 PM
reading some of the comments, i find it interesting that people really dont understand the concept of dynasty and winning now. were not talking 5 years from now people. if ur QB is in his 30's and has 2 years left, and is elite now, why would he not be listed high?? strange. i think people think dynasty is all about next year, next year, next year, rather than trying to win now. please someone trade me breese or manning in a dynasty league lol.
Posted by: scott c | May 21, 2009 01:29 PM
Anonymous,
You have to have vision in Dynasty leagues. Matt Ryan is a better talent than those guys and has a chance to be a yearly Top-5 guy like Peyton Manning.
In Dynasty leagues, you have to put more stock in talent and situation than last year's stats.
Posted by: Wess | May 21, 2009 01:30 PM
Reaper,
I disagree wholeheartedly on Warner. The reasoning is above.
Re: Delhomme. He's low because nobody starts him on a regular basis. An aging QB who sits on your bench every week has little-to-no value. Better to have youth in your backup.
Posted by: Wess | May 21, 2009 01:32 PM
Reaper,
Re: The Top-3 being over 30 years old. How is that a big deal? We're not talking RBs here. Please tell me you're not one of those Dynasty league guys that projects 5 years out when valuing players.
If Manning and Brees have at least 4 years of a Top-10 play in them, then they're the top guys. The NFL changes so quickly that you can't project more than 2-3 years without driving yourself crazy.
Posted by: Wess | May 21, 2009 01:35 PM
scott c,
I'm with you. Give me Manning, Brees, Brady & a handful of fantasy championships and let everyone else build pretty rosters filled with potential.
Posted by: Wess | May 21, 2009 01:40 PM
For the record:
Aging QBs that are good bets to finish in the Top-5 and help you win your title = lotsa value.
Aging QBs that sit on your fantasy bench weekly because they don't score enough points to consider starting = basically useless.
Posted by: Wess | May 21, 2009 01:45 PM