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The Orlovsky effect and much more

Dan Orlovsky looks likely to make his first NFL start Sunday. Despite the wishes of Lions fans, the coaching staff doesn't appear comfortable with Drew Stanton. They would have to shave off a big portion of the playbook if he went out there.

So does Orlovsky crush the value of Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson? It hurts it, but not as much as you think. It's not like Orlovsky can do that much worse than Jon Kitna, who has averaged under five yards-per-attempt his last two starts. And Detroit will have to pass often against Minnesota, because that's the only reasonable way to attack them. Orlovsky could be a high volume thrower like last week, where he threw 23 passes in the second half.

Because I feel like I should post this somewhere, here are my picks for the week. 42-29 for the year against the spread! Eat that, Sports Guy! And yes, I just jinxed myself for the rest of the season.

***

Since Aaron Gleeman is taking this Friday off, here's my music clip of the week. It's only 30 seconds long, taken by my beautiful wife at a great Okkervil River show this Tuesday. Deserves to be mentioned. Also worth checking out from the same show: 2 minutes of their sorta-but-not-totally cover of Sloop John B.

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