Sky being put back together in Dallas?

First Roy Williams shows up. Now Tony Romo may throw some passes Wednesday and be "re-evaluated." It sounds like he has a chance to play this Sunday, which would make my wife and the greater Dallas area very happy.





Comments
This is not at all what was said on Wade's weekly radio show. He was asked about Favre's call to Romo and only commented on that call. He never said Romo would throw or was going to play.
It's unreal how these things get wheels...
Posted by: KY | October 15, 2008 01:09 PM
Yesterday will almost certainly be known as the day when the non-dynasty (0 playoff wins during their run of dominance) came to an end.
Roy Williams is obviously more talented than the normal receiver, but he is far from the elite range. According to Football Outsiders, Roy's DYAR - the stat which shows a receiver's cumulative value - ranked thusly so far in his career: 57th ('04), 44th ('05), 10th ('06), 43rd ('07), 57th ('08). These are the cumulative values, Roy ranks even worse on a per play basis, a stat reflected in his DVOA, but also in his catch percentages: 46%, 48%, 54%, 61%, 44%. Those are catch percentages Chris Chambers could be proud of. Moreover, he's only been the most valuable receiver on his team twice in five years, finishing behind such luminaries as Az Hakim and Mike Furrey (although he did outpoint Furrey during the season Mike led the NFC in catches). He's currently way behind Calvin Johnson this season.
While his touchdown numbers aren't bad, he isn't a particularly dominant red zone receiver for someone with his height and speed.
It could be argued with some success that Roy never benefited from great quarterbacking, but anecdotal evidence suggests he often contributed to how bad his QBs looked. He and Kevin Jones once got in a sideline scuffle when Harrington was picked due to a bad route. Last season, Roy would routinely explain after the game how many extra touchdowns he would have had if he'd run the correct route. Last season also, despite being the only season where he had a respectable catch percentage, Roy agitated for more targets and campaigned against the complexity of the offense while failing to learn all of his responsibilities. He then, of course, reversed himself this year and lavished praise on Martz while throwing Colleto under the bus (justifiably).
To put the QB play in context, during Kitna's last starting season in Cincinnati, Chad Johnson finished 4th in DYAR and Peter Warrick finished 25th. A likely conclusion would be that Kitna did not hold Roy back nearly as much as Kitna was held back by Williams.
This isn't to suggest Roy's a bad person or bad player. He has a great personality and gives plenty of lively quotes, some of which are self-mocking. It simply means Dallas dramatically overpaid both in picks and salary and that he is unlikely to draw coverages away from TO. (You don't draw bracket coverage when you can neither run precise routes nor catch unless Mike Furrey is the receiver lined up opposite.)
As an owner of Calvin Johnson in multiple leagues, I would still be concerned that the loss of Roy will allow defenses to take the bracket coverage on Megatron to the next level, but I suspect they were treating him as the far-and-away #1 already. There is even a chance the McDonald/Furrey combo will put more pressure on defenses than Roy was.
Posted by: The Dude Abides | October 15, 2008 04:45 PM
Geez, Dude, a little ambiguous there ... how do you REALLY feel about Roy?
Posted by: Juggs | October 15, 2008 05:02 PM
meCGwq
Posted by: Zdvuajpw | July 15, 2009 05:25 AM
meCGwq
Posted by: Zdvuajpw | July 15, 2009 05:26 AM