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Matchup Previews

As I continue to wrap my mind around the events of last night, here is the video of our four matchup previews of the week: Colts/Packers, Patriots/Broncos, Lions/Houston, and Cowboys/Rams. The Sunday Night preview after the jump.

Continue reading "Matchup Previews" »

Will he or won't he?


Waiting for Jerry Jones to decide Romo's status?

I've gone back and forth on the question of whether Tony Romo will play question a few times. The only thing that seems certain is that I won't know for sure until I'm hosting Fix Live on Sunday morning. Romo took some first team snaps Thursday and Jerry Jones has been publicly optimistic. If Romo can throw and wants to play, one would think they will let him.

But ESPN's John Clayton and The Fort Worth Star-Telegram think Romo is unlikely to be the starter. They know a lot more about football and Tony Romo than I do. If you were averaging all the opinions about Romo's status, my guess is that the national average would put his likelihood of playing under 50%. My gut says he will, but my gut is stupid and growing as usual during football season. If Romo is out, I don't want to play Brad Johnson, regardless of matchup. Roy Williams is hands-off in his first game with the Cowboys with Johnson and he's only a WR3 if Romo is there.

Update: Sounds like he's probably playing.

October 16, 2008

Texans Day

Rankings are up. It's officially Texans day here at Rotoworld, so Kevin Walter gets the pic. Here are my weekly borderline plays that I send over to NBC.

1. Matt Cassel vs. Den: In a battle of weaknesses, Denver’s woeful pass defense outweighs Cassel’s lack of pocket presence. Expect an ugly 250 yards.
2. Gus Frerotte @ Chi: Gus has quietly averaged 247 yards-per-start and faces a banged-up Chicago secondary.
3. Dominic Rhodes vs. GB: The Green Bay front four is not what it once was.
4. LenDale White @ KC: White snacks on cheap touchdowns and there should be plenty available in Arrowhead.
5. Kevin Walter @ Detroit: Houston has quietly built one of the best passing games in the league and Walter is benefiting.

October 15, 2008

Sell Forte?

Tiffany and I talk Buy, Sell, or Hold on LT2, Braylon Edwards, Matt Forte, T.O. and more. The Week 7 Waiver picks and 100K picks are also available inside the player. Three and Out for the week is after the jump.

Continue reading "Sell Forte?" »

For what its worth

I checked the Shortcuts of last week's Lions-Vikings game to see how Mike Furrey and Shaun McDonald were used. Furrey appeared to get more snaps than McDonald for the first three quarters out of the slot. When Calvin Johnson got hurt in the fourth quarter, Furrey got all (four) snaps when Detroit used two receivers. McDonald came in to play the slot when the team went three wide.

Neither player has performed well this season, and I don't expect them to make a huge difference now that Roy Williams is gone. Furrey, though, looks like the better fantasy pickup for PPR owners. Just don't expect 98 catches again until he re-unites with Mike Martz.

Sky being put back together in Dallas?

First Roy Williams shows up. Now Tony Romo may throw some passes Wednesday and be "re-evaluated." It sounds like he has a chance to play this Sunday, which would make my wife and the greater Dallas area very happy.

A Fantasy legend sneaks back

Life in the NFL changes fast. The 2005 NFL MVP, Shaun Alexander, finally got a job again Tuesday and the news cycle barely took notice as the Cowboys soap opera took center stage. The lack of attention was appropriate. There will be temptation by owners to pick up Alexander because of his name, but he's just another mid-season signing.

Redskins head coach Jim Zorn indicated that Rock Cartwright would initially be Clinton Portis' backup as Alexander got back into football shape. By the time Alexander is ready to be the backup, Ladell Betts will return to take over. And Zorn seemed to make it clear it's Betts' job regardless:

"We're not going to put some sort of limitation on where we're at in four weeks, two weeks, however long it takes Ladell to get back. But [Alexander] knows the situation he's coming into."

Fantasy owners should know too.

October 14, 2008

Roy Williams can stiff delivery men in Dallas now

Our blurb on the Roy Williams deal is listed below. I'd write more here, but I need to get the Season Pass rankings up. Basically, this move adds another pair of hands to an overcrowded Dallas receiver group. Romo, Brad Johnson, and Calvin Johnson are winners. Megatron has less competition for targets. The Dallas Quarterbacks have more weapons.

Williams' value probably doesn't move. He gets a better quarterback in a month, but now may be the fourth option in his offense. That tradeoff is a wash. Dallas is asking for a T.Opisode in the next few years. It's hard to see him co-existing well with a similar receiver. Jerry Jones also just handed Williams' agent a ton of leverage because he'd look silly if Williams doesn't re-sign with the team now. Williams' contract expires at the end of the year.

The rest of the impact is after the jump. Let me know if you agree with my take.

Continue reading "Roy Williams can stiff delivery men in Dallas now" »

Jackson receiving kudos

Steven Jackson owners probably don't know how to disappointed to feel with their top back. On one hand, he has a lone touchdown in five weeks. And the Rams' latest win was hardly an offensive revival; they barely had 200 total yards and didn't score an offensive touchdown.

On the other hand, Jackson is keeping his value alive with a crazy amount of receptions. Jackson is on pace to catch 74 passes for 778 yards on the year. He's still in the top eight point scorers per game in PPR leagues. The Rams' lack of wideout production and poor protection has helped Jackson become Reggie Bush lite. Or Reggie Bush heavy. You know what I mean.

Jackson's 10.4 yards-per-reception shows he can still make plays. (He has more receiving yards than Torry Holt). And his huge catch total saves him from a prolonged slump. The touchdowns should come, even if they don't come in bunches. If the Steven Jackson owner in your league is one of the disappointed ones, send him a trade offer.

October 13, 2008

Romo injury spells trouble for T.O.

There was already going to be panic on the airwaves surrounding the Cowboys offense this week. Now it’s well founded. ESPN’s Michael Smith reports that Tony Romo will miss four weeks (three games) with a broken pinkie, forcing Brad Johnson into the starting lineup.

Johnson is hardly a 40-year-old virgin as an NFL starter, but he’s barely taken a snap since a mediocre run in Minnesota in 2006. He’s a classic “game-manager” and will probably have the weakest arm of any NFL starter in Week 7. The Cowboys now must rely heavily on their mammoth offensive line and running game. There should be no complaints about the workload of Marion Barber and Felix Jones over the next three weeks. The passing attack will stop going vertical to Terrell Owens and start going horizontal to Jason Witten and Patrick Crayton. That should go over well with T.O.

If Smith’s report is accurate, Romo will miss games at St. Louis, vs. Tampa Bay, and at the Giants. The Rams game becomes a must-win because Johnson will struggle to move the ball the following two weeks against two of the best defenses in football. A Week 9 loss in the Meadowlands could put the Cowboys dangerously far behind the Giants in the NFC East, making them just another Wild Card contender.

This is a Cowboys team with the personality of their head coach, always convinced the sun will shine brighter tomorrow on America’s Team. They have been criticized for failing to handle adversity well. They will either prove everyone wrong or spectacularly implode. It should be good theatre either way, just like Jerry Jones wants.

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