Who's your top running back now?
If you had a league starting this week, how would you rank your top ten running backs and receivers? I'm not asking what you would have done three weeks ago. You don't get LaMont Jordan's fast start, only his next 13 games. Here's how I'd go.
1. LaDainian Tomlinson - Hard part of schedule is mostly over.
2. Joseph Addai - Safer than safe.
3. Frank Gore - I still believe.
4. Brian Westbrook - Minor injuries a minor concern.
5. Willie Parker - Improvements haven't totally shown up in box scores, but they will.
6. Clinton Portis - Injury/Betts concerns were overblown.
7. Larry Johnson - Tough part of schedule is mostly over, but injury risk remains.
8. Travis Henry - Everything has gone as expected thus far.
9. Shaun Alexander - About what we expected.
10 (tie). Willis McGahee - Unremarkably consistent.
10. LaMont Jordan - Dominic Rhodes will be less of a threat than people think.
To be honest, the first ten are a lot easier to rank than the next ten would be. Ronnie Brown, Steven Jackson, Rudi Johnson, Reggie Bush, Carnell Williams, Brandon Jacobs and Laurence Maroney were among the backs not making the cut here. So what's your list?
I may expand this idea into a larger column later, so forgive me if you see it in some form again. We'll do receivers tomorrow.





Comments
I'm shocked that Edge didn't make the top 18. There are so few featured backs active, his number of carries alone should put him up there. The same with Thomas Jones, although less strongly. Foster would be just on the outside of this group looking in.
Posted by: Nathan | September 26, 2007 06:08 PM
I echo the questions about where the heck is Marion Barber -- he's the top RB scorer right now!
Posted by: asg | September 26, 2007 06:31 PM
Portis is in the correct spot. The Wash offense has a lot of weapons and will continue to improve. Portis is a surprisingly dominant goal line back and Betts two failures at the end of the Giants game will likely be two of his last goal line carries all season.
Larry Johnson is still too high. With 2 games each against all of their NFC West foes, the schedule doesn't ease that much. Sure, Denver and Oak have been much better against the pass, but they'll be able to play KC totally differently with at least one if not two extra men in the box. The Chiefs lack of a passing threat dooms Johnson. LJ is an above average player, but his top 5 stats are largely the result of Vermeil's offense in '05 and a Herculean number of carries in '06. With his touchdowns dropping off a cliff, he becomes no different than Willis McGahee.
McGahee is much too high. There's almost no chance of a breakout and limited touchdowns in Balt's lousy offense.
Rudi Johnson may be too high. 17 for 9 is nothing to ignore, no matter how much of an aberration it appears. Cincy line is getting no push and their touchdowns may be all through the air.
MBIII and Ronnie Brown are way too low. Julius Jones has a nagging injury and is on the verge of losing his final carris. But more importantly, MBIII is like a supercharged version of Jones-Drew a year ago. The Cowboys offense is so dynamic he doesn't need as many touches. Even if his touchdown percentage (as a percentage of the team's touchdowns) is much lower than Larry Johnson's the rest of the way, the Cowboys are likely to be in the red zone almost three times as often per game. So you don't get the touchdowns he's already scored, he'll score plenty more. Considering the disasters unfolding in St Louis and San Francisco, MBIII will probably get the 3rd most touchdowns from here after LT and Westbrook. (The Colts are also about to embark on a brutal schedule.)
Ronnie Brown's performance was against the Jets, but if you cut that performance in half he'd still be a top 5 back going forward. The Dolphins defense is collapsing, and Cameron is installing the same type of offense that was run in San Diego and in KC (pre-Herm). The kind of offense that throws the ball to open space and then turns LT, Priest, and LJ into fantasy monsters. Brown is not in LT's league, but he's probably only a small notch below Priest and LJ talent-wise.
Finally, even if he doesn't score a touchdown all year, Maroney will probably be a top 10 back. Considering Shaun Alexander's woes, I'd probably fit Maroney in at #7 on Gregg's list. (Or #10 after you add MBIII and Ronnie Brown).
Posted by: Shawn | September 26, 2007 06:41 PM
I agree with most but barber is a top 5 back from this point on in my opionion
Posted by: Dan | September 26, 2007 07:38 PM
What do you guys think of trading Parker for Jordan?
I realize that Gregg rated Jordan lower, but it's a PPR league (1 point per reception).
I was thinking of countering with Parker and Holmes for Jordan and Houshmanzada.
What do you guys think?
Posted by: Doug | September 26, 2007 08:22 PM
should i start LJ or R. Brown this week??
Posted by: RaiderNation | September 26, 2007 08:24 PM
So you don't include Marion Barber because he shares time, but you have no problem with Portis?
Posted by: Barrett | September 26, 2007 08:44 PM