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New column

The new column is up. I outline 13 Habits that fantasy leaguers should avoid.

A little help

I have a lot planned for the blog this week that I'll begin posting this afternoon, including the beginning of our top 50 position battles. In the meantime, I'm going to polish off my Tuesday column and ask for some help from you folks.

Any Eagles fans (or others) know if the John Clayton is writing for PhiladelphiaEagles.com lately?

There are many articles over the last month in his name, but I can't figure out if it's the same Clayton as ESPN. It brings up a lot of questions if so, but they are premature to ask if it's just some dude with the same name. Anyone else have a clue?

July 09, 2007

And We're Back

I left for a mini-vacation on Wednesday and arrived back to find out, predictably, not much happened. Most football writers are also on vacation, and the ones that aren't have little to write about. Here's the best writing and most noteworthy news I found from the July Fourth week.

1. I recently gambled on drafting Michael Vick (late), so I read this ESPN article with considerable optimism. Florio slapped some sense back into me. Nice work.

And we're not linking to profootballtalk.com since we're on the site as their fantasy provider. We've been linking to them for years. Plus they are the only site that makes our writing look professional in comparison.

2. Norm Chow wants Vince Young to run more. Fantastic. Aaron Gleeman mentions this in our Rotoworld Magazine Roundtable - that the poor talent around Young may force him to run more and increase his fantasy value. He's certainly the only quarterback that will serve as a goal-line back. And if Young rushes for ten scores as this article predicts, he can't disappoint in fantasy leagues no matter how poor his passing stats are.

3. Priest Holmes is still retiring. Sorta. We think. Jason Whitlock has called this one right since 2005, that Holmes was milking the whole situation because of money reasons. And the Chiefs certainly don't seem to mind, paying him to do nothing last year. Kolby Smith owners rejoice!

Continue reading "And We're Back" »

July 04, 2007

Rhodes Suspension Impact


Any excuse to use this picture

Looks like one of my five minicamp mysteries is solved. Dominic Rhodes' four-game suspension is the rare piece of July news that should scramble up draft boards.

In the two industry drafts I wrote about this week, LaMont Jordan was taken in the eighth round. He wouldn't last that long if we ran the drafts again today.

Rhodes' suspension coupled with this article about Michael Bush helps clear up a cloudy backfield situation in Oakland. As a dynasty league owner of Jordan and someone who ranked him as a top-25 back in our magazine, the news is welcome.

It's possible Kiffin may prefer to go with a committee once Rhodes is back like the one USC used. But Jordan has a chance to make a big first impression, which is all his owners can hope for. I'm thinking especially about home dates against Detroit and Cleveland in the first month. (Yes, that's the first matchup preview of the year).

The Oakland offensive line and Kiffin's late-season plans are still concerns, but Jordan is likely to capitilize if given a fighting chance. He knows he's playing for a new contract and Kiffin should utilize his receiving skills better than Art Shell. Don't forget about how talented Jordan looked in New York and for parts of his first year in Oakland. I still see Jordan as a high ceiling RB3 for the middle rounds.

Rhodes, on the other hand, saw his precarious value go down. There are some league observers that believe Rhodes is a natural fit for Oakland's new zone blocking schemes, but I just can't get excited about a guy who couldn't crack 3.5 yards-per-carry while playing for the Colts. The talent isn't there. At least this should knock his draft stock down to the last few rounds, which is where I had Rhodes pegged all along.

***

* The new Fantasy Fix is up. I talk (you guessed it) draft stock.

* The new online draft guide is for sale. We'll be updating it until Week 1.

* Happy Independence Day! I'll be on the road with my in-laws on the fourth and blog access could be sporadic at best until Monday as I try to enjoy the calm before training camp.

July 03, 2007

Least Favorite Handcuffs


Anthony Thomas

We did my favorite backup running backs to handcuff' yesterday. Today let's look at some options that aren't high on my list.

Ladell Betts - A Rotoworld favorite for his playing style, Betts is going cost a top 75 pick to attach to Clinton Portis. That's just too expensive for a player who will be a well-used backup if Portis is healthy.

Reuben Droughns - Mediocre talent, and will cost more than your average backup in most leagues. I know Brandon Jacobs is unproven, but I don't want to reach too high to draft Droughns just for insurance. I would anticipate Droughns struggling if he had to start.

Correll Buckhalter - Tony Hunt could wind up stealing his job.

Marcel Shipp - Two Cardinals running backs is worse than two.

Jason Wright - See Marcel Shipp, replace Cardinals with Browns. And if I had to draft a Browns running back, I'd throw a flier on Jerome Harrison in deep PPR leagues.

Anthony Thomas - Dwayne Wright was Buffalo's fourth-round pick and might back up Marshawn Lynch. Until I know more about his camp progress, Thomas doesn't seem worth a 12-by-15 league investment. He should be available on the wire.

Guys that aren't really handcuffs - Vernand Morency, Jerious Norwood, Warrick Dunn, The Titans RBs, DeAngelo Williams, etc. Whether you like these players or not, they aren't true handcuffs. They have stand alone value and I wouldn't recommend spending multiple picks on the situations.

July 02, 2007

Top Five Handcuffs


Draft Ron Dayne. Seriously.

I survived New Orleans this weekend, but the less said about it the better. On an extremely quiet news morning, let's continue to answer some questions from the mailbag.

Frequent commenter Matthew Dibble writes,

How would you define a handcuff? Are they the same as a regular contributer? Is the handcuff the guy who gets less carries, even if you're talking about Jones and Barber? Or is it the guy who will rarely play in a single back system but you must have him in case your guy goes down? is there any in between? and who's the most important one to have this year?

I define a handcuff as a backup running back who has extra value to your team because you own the starter. It's the type of guy that is rarely going to play unless an injury strikes, but will clearly have the job if that happens.

Jones and Barber aren't really a handcuff situation. They have value independent of one another. In fact, I wouldn't recommend trying to get both players because it's going to cost you two mid-round picks. At this point, I'd rather draft Jones in the sixth-round then spend a fourth-round pick on his backup, Barber.

We include a handcuff article with a ranking for all 32 backfields in our magazines and online draft guide (on sale this week!)

The best kind of handcuffs are ones that don't cost much and have great job security as a backup. It doesn't hurt if the starter is a question mark because of injuries. Here are five I like this year.

Ron Dayne, HOU - Playing behind an injury-prone starter in Houston. He may get goal-line carries and proved he can be successful for a short period with the Texans last year.

Michael Pittman, TB - Does it every year, no matter how many times the Bucs try to replace him. Pittman is a must-get for Cadillac Williams owners because Caddy is an injury risk. Pittman often performs better than Williams, so you lose nothing if an injury strikes. He has some stand-alone value in PPR leagues, but most of his fantasy value comes as insurance.

Brian Leonard, Rams - Any starter for the Rams at running back is going to be valuable. If you are going to spend a top-five pick on Steven Jackson, insure it with his clear (and talented) backup.

Mike Bell, Broncos - Travis Henry has struggled with durability issues in the past and Bell has proven he can be competent in Denver's system. Bell is the rare handcuff I'd reach out of the final three rounds to grab.

Michael Turner, Chargers - Turner would be an obvious every-week starter if LaDainian Tomlinson ever got hurt, which makes him the best kind of handcuff. Unfortunately, everyone knows this. How early do you want to draft someone that hopefully stays on the bench this year? We have Turner graded as a tenth-round value, but I suspect he'll get taken earlier in most leagues.

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