On Second Thought ...
The life of a a fantasy football writer isn't as glamorous as it seems. In between all the champagne rooms and the free NFL Sunday Ticket, we crunch a lot of numbers. And make rankings. Then make sure your projections line up perfectly with your top 200 rankings in every scoring format. Which a lot of places don't bother to do, but that's another column.
Inevitably it comes time to actually use the rankings, like in yesterday's draft. Suddenly, surprising names may rise to the top of your draft board. Players you absolutely don't want to draft. Players you do want to draft are buried. That's when it's time to re-evaluate.
I try not to tweak the rankings too much. We start work on them in February and there is an urge to over-think things. Not see the forest for the trees. With that said, improvement is always possible. Here are some players I'm reconsidering.
Ronnie Brown- The Ronnie Brown bandwagon waylaid a lot of fantasy owners last year, and I was one of his biggest supporters. This year, I originally pegged him as a mid-second round pick, roughly 16th at running back, 23rd overall. Now that I'm drafting, I realize that was too low. He's now moved up to thirteenth, ahead of Willis McGahee, Clinton Portis, and a handful of receivers.
Talent rises, and nothing I saw in 2006 convinced me that Brown is worse than a top-ten talent. The coaching and quarterback situations are upgrades, if modest. I don't want to let last year's emotions get in the way of a solid pick. I'm happy to make him my RB2, especially in points-per-reception leagues.
Marty Booker - Booker was atop my draft board yesterday in the latter rounds, and I absolutely didn't want him. He's a steady pro, an underrated player who has been stuck in bad offenses. But he's playing on another one and the wideout group is currently too crowded with Ted Ginn and Derek Hagan. You want to shoot higher with a late-round pick. He's going to move down from roughly 50th in PPR leagues to the mid-60's. A solid waiver pickup, an uninspiring late pick.
Eddie Kennison - He's been a top 30 wideout for the last four years (how many can say that?), but he was the highest wideout on my board at one point and I didn't want to touch him. And that's despite him being ranked 48th in our magazine. The Kansas City offense with Brodie Croyle is freaking everyone out.
Julius Jones - Another long-time Rotoworld favorite, I soured on Jones after last season. Especially his lack of vision. But he's lasting into the middle rounds of drafts and is still a starter. We currently have him at 29th, and I'm not sure if he'll move up. But he makes a sweet RB3 at worst.
Alge Crumpler - This is a timing problem. If I see Crumpler practicing in training camp, then he'll deserve his top-five tight end ranking. Until then, I have reservations about a player that hasn't been fully healthy in years. He's the opposite of Vernon Davis, who I can't rank high enough at this point.
Kevin Jones - Similar situation to Crumpler. We have him 35th at running back, which is probably low enough that I'd never end up with him anyway. But that's still a solid mid-round pick. Brian Flood is going to write about the situation next week, but he's hearing that his foot isn't close to healthy.
Maurice Stovall - My heart of hearts knows that Stovall has to be the favorite as of today to start opposite Joey Galloway. ESPN's KC Joyner says the Tampa number two receiver has nearly the best set of matchups for any wideout all year. Michael Clayton still has a chance, but Stovall should be flier pick if you are drafting today.
I have to run - the magazine is turning out great. Contributions from Deadspin,
profootballtalk, and many of our favorite beat writers. The first edition is on newstands now, and this one will be out in late July.
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